Weather or Knot

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 19  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
430 PM EST THU JAN 26 2012  
  
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF  
  
 EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE  
 CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA  
 COASTAL WATERS  
  
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 430 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST.  
  
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS  
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.  
  
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE  
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF  
MACON GEORGIA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA. FOR  
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH  
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).  
  
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR  
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH  
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR  
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS  
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  
  
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 18...  
  
DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF GA AND NRN FL THIS EVENING IN TANDEM WITH 40-50+  
KT SLY LLJ. DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS HAS WARMED WELL INTO THE 70S THIS  
AFTERNOON AND WHEN COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF AROUND  
60 F IS RESULTING IN A WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF  
250-500 J/KG. WHILE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...THE  
STRENGTHENING LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND ALREADY STRONG  
VERTICAL SHEAR /I.E. 0-1 KM SRH OF 250-300 M2 PER S2/ INDICATE A  
CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN  
SUSTAINED STORMS.  

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0076  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0216 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012  
  
AREAS AFFECTED...GA...NRN FL  
  
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY  
  
VALID 262016Z - 262215Z  
  
ONE OR TWO ADDITIONAL WWS MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN  
GULF STATES AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS REGION BETWEEN NOW AND 00-01Z.  
  
THE SQUALL LINE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE  
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS WEAKENED SOME. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS  
TO BE MAINTAINING SUFFICIENT STRENGTH TO CONTINUE SUPPORTING A RISK  
FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/ISOLATED TORNADOES AS IT PROGRESSES EASTWARD  
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION BY  
23-00Z.  
  
FARTHER NORTH...MORE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING LONGER TERM CONVECTIVE  
TRENDS EXISTS. BUT THERE STILL APPEARS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT  
INTENSIFICATION OF CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MORE  
RAPID DEEPENING OF A SURFACE LOW NOW LIFTING OUT OF THE NORTH  
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES TOWARD CENTRAL/EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL  
LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF SOUTHERLY 850 MB  
FLOW IN EXCESS OF 50-60 KTS...WHICH WILL ENLARGE LOW-LEVEL  
HODOGRAPHS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE RESIDUAL EASTWARD ADVANCING  
CONVECTIVE BAND. THE INTERSECTION OF THIS CONVECTION WITH A REMNANT  
NEAR SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS  
COULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ENHANCED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THIS  
MAY INCLUDE SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...NEAR/NORTH OF ATLANTA INTO  
WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AS THE REMNANTS OF AN UPSTREAM LOW BEGIN  
LIFTING THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY 00-03Z.  
  
..KERR.. 01/26/2012  

ALC023-261630-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120126T1630Z/
CHOCTAW AL-
1019 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN CHOCTAW COUNTY…

AT 1015 AM CST…A TORNADO WAS REPORTED. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
NEAR CHOCTAW CITY…OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF BUTLER…MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO EDNA
AND OAKCHIA

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 18
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 955 AM UNTIL
500 PM CST.

TORNADOES…HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
PENSACOLA FLORIDA TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BIRMINGHAM
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 17…

DISCUSSION…A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER THE MS DELTA REGION IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEWD INTO MIDDLE TN BY AFTERNOON…RESULTING IN
CONSIDERABLE STRENGTHENING OF A SLY LLJ TO AOA 50 KT TODAY ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA. THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE THE NWD FLUX OF AN
INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE REGION…AS WELL AS
RESULT IN STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. NRN EXTENSION OF QLCS OVER
SWRN AL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NNEWD ALONG LEADING EDGE OF WEAKER
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION SHIELD PRESENT ACROSS NRN AL WITHIN
MOISTENING/DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING VERTICAL
SHEAR AND FORCING FOR ASCENT…SETUP WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS
AND A FEW TORNADOES.

ALC023-261630-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120126T1630Z/
CHOCTAW AL-
955 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN CHOCTAW COUNTY…

AT 952 AM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LUSK…OR 8 MILES
SOUTH OF BUTLER…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MORGAN
CHAPEL…SLATER…MOUNT STERLING…LITTLE WALKER…CROMWELL…
MOLLIE…LAVACA…LISMAN…CHAPEL HILL…JACHIN…ROBJOHN…CHOCTAW
CITY…DEAS…PENNINGTON…TOMPKINSVILLE…INDIAN SPRINGS…
NAHEOLA…PELHAM…EDNA AND OAKCHIA

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
933 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 929 AM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 17 MILES
NORTHEAST OF WAYNESBORO…OR 4 MILES WEST OF SILAS…MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
TOXEY… SILAS… PENNINGTON…
NEEDHAM… LISMAN… GILBERTOWN…
BUTLER…

ALC023-129-MSC153-261545-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120126T1545Z/
CHOCTAW AL-WASHINGTON AL-WAYNE MS-
923 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN WAYNE…NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHWESTERN CHOCTAW
COUNTIES…

AT 920 AM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CONTWELL…OR 12
MILES EAST OF WAYNESBORO…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
EMORY…COLLUMBURG…BOLINGER…EVANSBORO…SILAS…SOUWILPA…
MELVIN…PARAGON…WATER VALLEY…FLATWOOD…GILBERTOWN…OLD SAMUEL
AND BARRYTOWN

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
920 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
EASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI…
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 1000 AM CST

* AT 915 AM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES SOUTH OF
LEAKESVILLE…OR 16 MILES EAST OF MCLAIN…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
LEAKESVILLE… VINEGAR BEND… TIBBIE…
FRUITDALE… DEER PARK…

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
856 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
EASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI…
SOUTHWESTERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA…
NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 852 AM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
WAYNESBORO…OR NEAR CLARA…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
WAYNESBORO… CLARA… BUCKATUNNA…
SILAS… GILBERTOWN… COLLUMBURG…

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
804 PM CST WED JAN 25 2012

MSC127-260230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120126T0230Z/
SIMPSON MS-
804 PM CST WED JAN 25 2012

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
SIMPSON COUNTY…

AT 805 PM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PINOLA MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR…
D’LO AND MENDENHALL BY 820 PM CST…
MARTINVILLE BY 830 PM CST…